Labour’s southern comfort: the shifts since 1997I remember the evening of the 1997 election well. I was at a drinks party hosted by Punter Southall, a well-known firm of consulting…Sep 13, 2024Sep 13, 2024
Still fallingIf you were to believe the general mood music from the Conservative party, you’d have thought they had dodged a bullet. Despite tallying…Jul 14, 2024Jul 14, 2024
Reform UK: the jigsaw piece that doesn’t seem to fitThere’s been a lot of attention given to the rise of Reform UK in the polls. There’s been surprisingly little effort given to considering…Apr 21, 2024Apr 21, 2024
Four polling mysteriesThere’s something odd about current polls in the UK. They don’t completely stack up with either anecdotal experience or with empirical…Mar 24, 20241Mar 24, 20241
The Death ClockYou can go online and find out, supposedly, when you’re going to die. The website has a cheery name: the Death Clock. Apparently I’m going…Mar 2, 2024Mar 2, 2024
2024: the themeless electionIt’s an oddity really. Rishi Sunak and Sir Keir Starmer are both transparently intelligent men. Both have chosen a career in politics (Sir…Feb 3, 2024Feb 3, 2024