Thanks for the kind words. I see Reform getting a few seats (hard to predict exactly where) in multi-way marginals where 25-30% will take the seat. Examples of the type of place I'm thinking of are Ashfield and Waveney Valley. But like you I'm expecting a handful, not a bucketload.

Generally, it's a particularly murky election. There will be some surprising results all over the place, I think.

What's notable is that the feedback I've had has gone in all directions - Tories on 200, Tories on 50, SNP on 10, Lib Dems on 75, Lib Dems on 30. It's a really hard one to call.